Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.218155 0.251971 0.289105 0.332884 0.383064 0.438760 0.505252
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.171653 0.217250 0.271831 0.341879 0.429301 0.534720 0.671422
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.139143 0.191466 0.259219 0.353135 0.479703 0.644117 0.873687
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.110590 0.164515 0.239632 0.351451 0.513196 0.738136 1.074169
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.088954 0.142308 0.221848 0.348335 0.543631 0.832779 1.292269
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.072964 0.124921 0.207427 0.346918 0.575667 0.934421 1.537763
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.061110 0.111478 0.196310 0.348138 0.611404 1.046817 1.818269
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.052871 0.102333 0.190336 0.356391 0.659581 1.186195 2.165063
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.044789 0.091728 0.179717 0.354287 0.688974 1.297767 2.481585
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.039497 0.085283 0.175393 0.362725 0.738527 1.451952 2.898207
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.033716 0.076628 0.165155 0.357681 0.761109 1.559018 3.242295
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029903 0.071322 0.160632 0.363244 0.805457 1.714126 3.703445
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025310 0.063421 0.149393 0.353005 0.816164 1.805410 4.053807
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023008 0.060373 0.148287 0.365000 0.877249 2.011228 4.679353
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021088 0.057854 0.147939 0.378713 0.944649 2.241125 5.394099
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018608 0.053368 0.142045 0.378063 0.978353 2.400885 5.975123
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016388 0.049084 0.135840 0.375485 1.006936 2.553144 6.562477
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014550 0.045449 0.130617 0.374473 1.039300 2.719330 7.209469
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013062 0.042496 0.126661 0.376133 1.078933 2.909446 7.945690
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012021 0.040658 0.125467 0.385266 1.140310 3.164095 8.887019
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010737 0.037763 0.120668 0.383155 1.170141 3.340755 9.649085
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009935 0.036260 0.119733 0.392367 1.234042 3.618630 10.728634
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008837 0.033492 0.114365 0.386995 1.254060 3.778354 11.502767